Betting Lines
| Spread | WIN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | PRES +195 WIN -238 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIN +10 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | WIN -6.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (+9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIN -4.9 (-5.1) | 143.3 (+10.7) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIN -5.2 (-4.8) | 142.9 (+11.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIN -5.0 (-5.0) | 141.4 (+12.6) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIN -4.2 (-5.8) | 143.5 (+10.5) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | WIN 73 – 71 PRES |
| Feb 28, 2026 | WIN 74 – 70 PRES |
| Feb 20, 2025 | WIN 81 – 77 PRES |
| Jan 29, 2025 | WIN 76 – 67 PRES |
| Feb 21, 2024 | PRES 78 – 55 WIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRES | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 13-3 |
| Home | 10-4 | 13-1 |
| Away | 3-13 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#267) | 2.6 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#262) | 0.29 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#288) | 0.19 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#261) | 0.545 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRES | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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