Betting Lines
| Spread | WIN -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | WIN -500 PRES +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRES +23 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | WIN -12.0 (-35.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (-16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIN -10.8 (-33.8) | 149.3 (-16.3) | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIN -9.6 (-32.6) | 146.6 (-13.6) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIN -10.4 (-33.4) | 147.6 (-14.6) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIN -10.5 (-33.5) | 148.3 (-15.3) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | WIN 73 – 71 PRES |
| Feb 28, 2026 | WIN 74 – 70 PRES |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WIN 82 – 72 PRES |
| Feb 20, 2025 | WIN 81 – 77 PRES |
| Jan 29, 2025 | WIN 76 – 67 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIN | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 6-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-7 |
| Away | 6-9 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 74.6 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#144) | -7.2 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#167) | -1.33 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#158) | -1.60 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#165) | 0.406 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIN | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 35.8% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 34.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.