Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Over |
| Money | SELA -350 HCU +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +5 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -9.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (+22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -7.7 (-2.7) | 151.8 (+21.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -7.1 (-2.1) | 152.8 (+20.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -7.0 (-2.0) | 153.4 (+19.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -6.9 (-1.9) | 152.5 (+20.5) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | SELA 55 – 47 HCU |
| Dec 13, 2025 | SELA 74 – 71 HCU |
| Feb 11, 2025 | SELA 69 – 60 HCU |
| Jan 28, 2025 | HCU 70 – 62 SELA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SELA 81 – 78 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 6-8 |
| Home | 10-1 | 7-6 |
| Away | 5-11 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 79.4 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#289) | -13.3 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#261) | -2.31 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#270) | -2.76 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#204) | 0.413 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 23.2% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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