Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
| Money | FGCU -350 STET +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +7 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -8.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (+24.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -6.5 (+0.5) | 149.1 (+21.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -8.7 (-1.7) | 149.2 (+21.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -8.3 (-1.3) | 149.6 (+21.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -8.2 (-1.2) | 147.6 (+23.4) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | STET 78 – 63 FGCU |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FGCU 78 – 76 STET |
| Feb 21, 2025 | FGCU 83 – 80 STET |
| Feb 1, 2025 | FGCU 82 – 56 STET |
| Feb 17, 2024 | STET 61 – 60 FGCU |
Game Analysis
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