Betting Lines
| Spread | UL -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
| Money | UL -220 UTA +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +3 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | UL -5.7 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (+19.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UL -5.0 (-8.0) | 137.8 (+19.2) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UL -4.3 (-7.3) | 139.0 (+18.0) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UL -4.0 (-7.0) | 139.2 (+17.8) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UL -4.3 (-7.3) | 139.2 (+17.8) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2022 | UL 67 – 64 UTA |
| Jan 14, 2022 | UTA 83 – 73 UL |
| Feb 22, 2021 | UL 76 – 74 UTA |
| Jan 16, 2021 | UL 68 – 51 UTA |
| Jan 16, 2021 | UTA 91 – 86 UL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UL | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 8-9 | 7-10 |
| Home | 7-6 | 8-4 |
| Away | 6-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#189) | -3.7 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#215) | -0.42 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#199) | -0.25 (#193) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#226) | 0.470 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UL | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 23.3% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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