Betting Lines
| Spread | UL -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | UTA +100 UL -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +10 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | UL -0.5 (+10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (+21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UL -0.0 (+10.0) | 140.0 (+16.0) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTA -0.8 (+9.2) | 138.7 (+17.3) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTA -0.3 (+9.7) | 137.4 (+18.6) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTA -1.3 (+8.7) | 139.8 (+16.2) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2022 | UL 67 – 64 UTA |
| Feb 12, 2022 | UTA 80 – 77 UL |
| Feb 22, 2021 | UL 76 – 74 UTA |
| Jan 16, 2021 | UL 68 – 51 UTA |
| Jan 16, 2021 | UTA 91 – 86 UL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTA | UL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 8-9 |
| Home | 8-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 3-13 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#232) | 1.1 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#177) | 0.58 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#167) | 0.46 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#162) | 0.523 (#123) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTA | UL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 40.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.0% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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