Louisiana
Ragin' Cajuns
67
–
64
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Hercules Tires Sun Belt
UT Arlington
Mavericks
Betting Lines
| Spread | UL -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UL +3 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | UL -2.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UL -2.5 (+0.5) | 137.7 (-6.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UL -1.6 (+1.4) | 137.9 (-6.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UL -1.7 (+1.3) | 138.7 (-7.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UL -1.3 (+1.7) | 138.6 (-7.6) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2022 | UTA 80 – 77 UL |
| Jan 14, 2022 | UTA 83 – 73 UL |
| Feb 22, 2021 | UL 76 – 74 UTA |
| Jan 16, 2021 | UL 68 – 51 UTA |
| Jan 16, 2021 | UTA 91 – 86 UL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UL | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 8-9 | 7-10 |
| Home | 7-6 | 8-4 |
| Away | 6-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#194) | -3.7 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#208) | -0.46 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#204) | -0.36 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#213) | 0.473 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UL | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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