Betting Lines
| Spread | UTA -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | UTA -125 UL +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UL +17 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | UTA -5.7 (-22.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (-28.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTA -3.9 (-20.9) | 149.3 (-30.3) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTA -3.8 (-20.8) | 148.2 (-29.2) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTA -4.2 (-21.2) | 148.9 (-29.9) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTA -4.3 (-21.3) | 149.4 (-30.4) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2022 | UL 67 – 64 UTA |
| Feb 12, 2022 | UTA 80 – 77 UL |
| Jan 14, 2022 | UTA 83 – 73 UL |
| Feb 22, 2021 | UL 76 – 74 UTA |
| Jan 16, 2021 | UTA 91 – 86 UL |
Game Analysis
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