Betting Lines
| Spread | UTA -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | UTA -138 UL +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +5 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | UTA -5.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (+29.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTA -3.9 (+1.1) | 147.9 (+29.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTA -3.8 (+1.2) | 147.2 (+29.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTA -3.7 (+1.3) | 148.2 (+28.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTA -3.9 (+1.1) | 148.5 (+28.5) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2022 | UL 67 – 64 UTA |
| Feb 12, 2022 | UTA 80 – 77 UL |
| Jan 14, 2022 | UTA 83 – 73 UL |
| Feb 22, 2021 | UL 76 – 74 UTA |
| Jan 16, 2021 | UL 68 – 51 UTA |
Game Analysis
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