I don't know why I let that mean woman make me a fool. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Cajundome · February 22, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread UL -4.5 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Over
Money UL -175 / UTA +188
Model Predictions
Spread Total UL win
Actual UL +2 150 Won
Massey UL -4.9 (-2.9) — —
Massey Totals — 148.6 (+1.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 76% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 81% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UL -5.4 (-3.4) 147.9 (+2.1) 67% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UL -5.6 (-3.6) 148.4 (+1.6) 69% ✓
Baseline ML UL -5.3 (-3.3) 148.2 (+1.8) 70% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UL -5.2 (-3.2) 149.9 (+0.1) 65% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 3, 2022 UL 67 – 64 UTA
Feb 12, 2022 UTA 80 – 77 UL
Jan 14, 2022 UTA 83 – 73 UL
Jan 16, 2021 UL 68 – 51 UTA
Jan 16, 2021 UTA 91 – 86 UL

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.