Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | M-OH -120 BGSU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +16 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | M-OH -2.2 (+13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.7 (+9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -1.1 (+14.9) | 153.1 (+18.9) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -1.5 (+14.5) | 155.1 (+16.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -0.7 (+15.3) | 155.7 (+16.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -1.5 (+14.5) | 156.3 (+15.7) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | M-OH 91 – 77 BGSU |
| Dec 31, 2025 | M-OH 93 – 83 BGSU |
| Jan 22, 2025 | M-OH 84 – 76 BGSU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | M-OH 66 – 58 BGSU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | BGSU 78 – 73 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 6-14 |
| Home | 9-8 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-9 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 77.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 82.2 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#254) | -3.9 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#269) | -0.71 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#264) | -0.94 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#298) | 0.461 (#241) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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