I'm going to Wichita, far from this opera for evermore. "Seven Nation Army" - The White Stripes
Mid-American Conference · Millett Hall · February 21, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread M-OH -8.5 Home covered
O/U 154.5 Over
Money M-OH -470 / BGSU +360
Model Predictions
Spread Total M-OH win
Actual M-OH +14 168 Won
Massey M-OH -8.8 (+5.2)
Massey Totals 158.5 (+9.5)
Bradley-Terry 99%
Weighted B-T 100%
Efficiency Plus ML M-OH -10.2 (+3.8) 152.0 (+16.0) 84%
Baseline Tuned ML M-OH -9.7 (+4.3) 149.2 (+18.8) 83%
Baseline ML M-OH -9.5 (+4.5) 150.1 (+17.9) 80%
Baseline Plus ML M-OH -11.3 (+2.7) 153.1 (+14.9) 82%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 31, 2025 M-OH 9383 BGSU
Jan 22, 2025 M-OH 8476 BGSU
Feb 28, 2024 M-OH 6658 BGSU
Jan 17, 2024 BGSU 7873 M-OH
Feb 22, 2023 M-OH 7465 BGSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings M-OH BGSU
Overall 32-2 18-14
Conference 18-0 9-9
Home 16-0 10-7
Away 14-0 6-6
Neutral 2-2 2-1
Last 5 5-0 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 86.3 76.8
Avg Pts Against 76.5 72.7
Massey 7.8 (#81) 1.9 (#136)
Bradley-Terry 4.03 (#8) -0.00 (#163)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.96 (#8) 0.10 (#160)
RPI 0.599 (#34) 0.495 (#197)
Shooting & Four Factors M-OH BGSU
FG% 51.5% 46.1%
3PT% 38.3% 33.8%
REB / G 34.1 35.0
OREB / G 8.0 10.0
AST / TO 1.48 1.08
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 60.0% 51.9%
TOV% 14.9% 17.1%
ORB% 25.6% 29.0%
FT Rate 31.0% 26.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.9% 50.4%
Opp TOV% 18.2% 19.3%
DRB% 72.3% 72.5%
Opp FT Rate 23.7% 27.1%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.