Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | M-OH -550 BGSU +410 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +8 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | M-OH -12.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -9.2 (-1.2) | 150.7 (+9.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -12.9 (-4.9) | 150.5 (+9.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -11.8 (-3.8) | 151.1 (+8.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -12.3 (-4.3) | 151.7 (+8.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | M-OH 91 – 77 BGSU |
| Dec 31, 2025 | M-OH 93 – 83 BGSU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | M-OH 66 – 58 BGSU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | BGSU 78 – 73 M-OH |
| Feb 22, 2023 | M-OH 74 – 65 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-1 | 8-8 |
| Away | 6-7 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#141) | -7.2 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#104) | -1.72 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#115) | -2.42 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#152) | 0.398 (#332) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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