Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | M-OH -111 BGSU -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +5 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | M-OH -2.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -0.7 (-5.7) | 144.1 (+6.9) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -1.4 (-6.4) | 144.3 (+6.7) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -1.3 (-6.3) | 146.1 (+4.9) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -1.2 (-6.2) | 146.3 (+4.7) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | M-OH 91 – 77 BGSU |
| Dec 31, 2025 | M-OH 93 – 83 BGSU |
| Jan 22, 2025 | M-OH 84 – 76 BGSU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | M-OH 66 – 58 BGSU |
| Feb 22, 2023 | M-OH 74 – 65 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-6 | 12-5 |
| Away | 6-10 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#234) | -2.0 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#245) | 0.44 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#273) | 0.24 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#250) | 0.491 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 29.1 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 21.0% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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