Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | BGSU -270 M-OH +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +10 | 176 | Lost |
| Massey | BGSU -6.2 (-16.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.9 (+20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -3.8 (-13.8) | 145.8 (+30.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -4.5 (-14.5) | 146.9 (+29.1) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -4.2 (-14.2) | 146.0 (+30.0) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -4.6 (-14.6) | 146.7 (+29.3) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | M-OH 91 – 77 BGSU |
| Jan 22, 2025 | M-OH 84 – 76 BGSU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | M-OH 66 – 58 BGSU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | BGSU 78 – 73 M-OH |
| Feb 22, 2023 | M-OH 74 – 65 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 32-2 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 18-0 |
| Home | 10-7 | 16-0 |
| Away | 6-6 | 14-0 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 86.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#79) | 5.7 (#101) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#103) | 2.66 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#91) | 3.45 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#114) | 0.498 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 50.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 40.4% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 59.5% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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