Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | M-OH -110 BGSU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +9 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | M-OH -1.7 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (-16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -0.9 (+8.1) | 150.5 (-11.5) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -1.0 (+8.0) | 151.9 (-12.9) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -0.5 (+8.5) | 152.9 (-13.9) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -0.2 (+8.8) | 153.4 (-14.4) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | M-OH 91 – 77 BGSU |
| Dec 31, 2025 | M-OH 93 – 83 BGSU |
| Jan 22, 2025 | M-OH 84 – 76 BGSU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | M-OH 66 – 58 BGSU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | BGSU 78 – 73 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-9 | 7-9 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 79.1 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#304) | -6.1 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.88 (#332) | -1.33 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.29 (#334) | -1.50 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#325) | 0.430 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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