Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | BGSU -188 M-OH +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +8 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | BGSU -3.8 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -2.9 (-10.9) | 142.1 (-18.1) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -2.7 (-10.7) | 140.9 (-16.9) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -2.6 (-10.6) | 140.8 (-16.8) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -3.2 (-11.2) | 142.8 (-18.8) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | M-OH 91 – 77 BGSU |
| Dec 31, 2025 | M-OH 93 – 83 BGSU |
| Jan 22, 2025 | M-OH 84 – 76 BGSU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | BGSU 78 – 73 M-OH |
| Feb 22, 2023 | M-OH 74 – 65 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#229) | -4.0 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#176) | -0.59 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#184) | -1.00 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#199) | 0.468 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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