Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | CCU -190 GASO +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +21 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | CCU -5.9 (+15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.7 (+8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -5.5 (+15.5) | 127.3 (+9.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -4.0 (+17.0) | 129.8 (+7.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -3.9 (+17.1) | 131.0 (+6.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -4.4 (+16.6) | 129.0 (+8.0) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | GASO 96 – 72 CCU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | CCU 79 – 75 GASO |
| Jan 1, 2026 | GASO 82 – 81 CCU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | GASO 85 – 58 CCU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | GASO 88 – 87 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 13-16 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 5-11 |
| Home | 13-7 | 7-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 63.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#172) | -3.1 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#189) | -0.21 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#184) | -0.56 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#197) | 0.475 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 27.9% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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