Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | CCU -125 GASO +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +1 | 175 | Lost |
| Massey | CCU -5.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (+32.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -2.8 (-3.8) | 140.0 (+35.0) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -2.3 (-3.3) | 137.6 (+37.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -3.9 (-4.9) | 141.8 (+33.2) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -3.3 (-4.3) | 141.7 (+33.3) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | GASO 96 – 72 CCU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | CCU 79 – 75 GASO |
| Jan 1, 2026 | GASO 82 – 81 CCU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | GASO 85 – 58 CCU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | CCU 82 – 75 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-8 | 11-3 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#280) | -8.7 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#313) | -0.72 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#313) | -1.30 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#337) | 0.464 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 10.5% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 32.6% |
Game Analysis
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