I'm the all night drug prowling wolf who looks so sick in sun / I'm the white man in the Palais "White Man in Hammersmith Palais" - The Clash
Sun Belt Conference · The HTC Center · February 16, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread CCU -0.5 Home covered
O/U 152.5 Over
Money CCU +100 / GASO +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total CCU win
Actual CCU +7 157 Won
Massey CCU -2.5 (+4.5) — —
Massey Totals — 155.8 (+1.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 63% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 54% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CCU -0.6 (+6.4) 155.3 (+1.7) 59% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CCU -0.3 (+6.7) 153.8 (+3.2) 52% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CCU -1.0 (+6.0) 152.3 (+4.7) 56% ✓
Baseline ML CCU -1.0 (+6.0) 153.5 (+3.5) 58% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2026 GASO 96 – 72 CCU
Jan 17, 2026 CCU 79 – 75 GASO
Jan 1, 2026 GASO 82 – 81 CCU
Jan 23, 2025 GASO 85 – 58 CCU
Jan 17, 2025 GASO 88 – 87 CCU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CCU GASO
Overall 9-22 9-24
Conference 5-13 8-10
Home 7-11 6-7
Away 1-9 2-14
Neutral 1-2 1-3
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 71.8 73.3
Avg Pts Against 79.4 79.2
Massey -10.2 (#327) -9.3 (#309)
Bradley-Terry -2.07 (#334) -1.97 (#332)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.45 (#334) -1.90 (#311)
RPI 0.391 (#341) 0.391 (#343)
Shooting & Four Factors CCU GASO
FG% 44.1% 41.9%
3PT% 30.8% 34.7%
REB / G 38.6 33.2
OREB / G 11.3 10.2
AST / TO 0.92 0.79
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.1% 49.9%
TOV% 18.1% 19.1%
ORB% 30.5% 27.9%
FT Rate 20.0% 20.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.5% 52.9%
Opp TOV% 13.3% 17.6%
DRB% 68.1% 64.5%
Opp FT Rate 21.3% 28.1%

Game Analysis

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