Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | CCU +100 GASO +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +7 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | CCU -2.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -0.3 (+6.7) | 153.8 (+3.2) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -1.0 (+6.0) | 152.3 (+4.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -1.0 (+6.0) | 153.5 (+3.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -0.6 (+6.4) | 155.3 (+1.7) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | GASO 96 – 72 CCU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | CCU 79 – 75 GASO |
| Jan 1, 2026 | GASO 82 – 81 CCU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | GASO 85 – 58 CCU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | GASO 88 – 87 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-11 | 6-7 |
| Away | 1-9 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 79.2 |
| Massey | -10.2 (#327) | -9.3 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.07 (#334) | -1.97 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.45 (#334) | -1.90 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.391 (#341) | 0.391 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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