Betting Lines
| Spread | GASO -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | GASO -265 CCU +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +4 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | GASO -4.7 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GASO -3.4 (-7.4) | 150.1 (+3.9) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GASO -4.1 (-8.1) | 153.7 (+0.3) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GASO -3.5 (-7.5) | 155.7 (-1.7) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GASO -3.6 (-7.6) | 151.6 (+2.4) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | GASO 96 – 72 CCU |
| Jan 1, 2026 | GASO 82 – 81 CCU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | GASO 85 – 58 CCU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | GASO 88 – 87 CCU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | CCU 82 – 75 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-16 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-8 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.3 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#241) | -6.0 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#194) | -0.48 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#225) | -0.96 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#210) | 0.475 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 30.8% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 64.0% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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