Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | CCU -122 GASO +102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +24 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | CCU -0.7 (-24.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.5 (+12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -0.7 (-24.7) | 150.2 (+17.8) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GASO -0.1 (-23.9) | 151.4 (+16.6) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -0.8 (-24.8) | 147.4 (+20.6) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -1.1 (-25.1) | 146.5 (+21.5) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | CCU 79 – 75 GASO |
| Jan 1, 2026 | GASO 82 – 81 CCU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | GASO 85 – 58 CCU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | GASO 88 – 87 CCU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | CCU 82 – 75 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 21-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 10-7 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 80.3 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#240) | -5.3 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#159) | -0.42 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#185) | -0.80 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#140) | 0.471 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.4% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 30.7% |
Game Analysis
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