Betting Lines
| Spread | GASO -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | GASO -260 CCU +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +27 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | GASO -3.4 (+23.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GASO -3.2 (+23.8) | 143.7 (-0.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GASO -3.5 (+23.5) | 144.8 (-1.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GASO -3.0 (+24.0) | 144.2 (-1.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GASO -3.2 (+23.8) | 144.6 (-1.6) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | GASO 96 – 72 CCU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | CCU 79 – 75 GASO |
| Jan 1, 2026 | GASO 82 – 81 CCU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | GASO 88 – 87 CCU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | CCU 82 – 75 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 3-15 |
| Home | 11-3 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#295) | -8.0 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#211) | -1.98 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#238) | -2.47 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#204) | 0.387 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 10.9% |
| DRB% | 65.4% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.9% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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