Betting Lines
| Spread | NCSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | PITT +105 NCSU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PITT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PITT +2 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | NCSU -0.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PITT -0.0 (+2.0) | 135.0 (+5.0) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PITT -0.5 (+1.5) | 137.5 (+2.5) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PITT -0.8 (+1.2) | 139.1 (+0.9) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -0.7 (+2.7) | 137.1 (+2.9) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | NCSU 98 – 88 PITT |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NCSU 81 – 72 PITT |
| Mar 6, 2025 | NCSU 71 – 63 PITT |
| Mar 10, 2024 | PITT 81 – 73 NCSU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | PITT 67 – 64 NCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PITT | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 4-16 |
| Home | 9-11 | 7-10 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L5 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.5 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#180) | 2.4 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#179) | 0.00 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#185) | 0.27 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#200) | 0.491 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PITT | NCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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