Betting Lines
| Spread | VMI -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Under |
| Money | VMI -360 CIT +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIT +4 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | VMI -9.2 (-13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VMI -8.2 (-12.2) | 162.3 (-0.3) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VMI -8.2 (-12.2) | 160.4 (+1.6) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VMI -7.9 (-11.9) | 160.6 (+1.4) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VMI -8.8 (-12.8) | 160.5 (+1.5) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | CIT 80 – 56 VMI |
| Jan 18, 2026 | CIT 82 – 68 VMI |
| Mar 8, 2025 | VMI 73 – 62 CIT |
| Feb 8, 2025 | VMI 82 – 70 CIT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | VMI 75 – 70 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-4 | 7-8 |
| Away | 6-9 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#143) | -5.0 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#142) | -0.65 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#133) | -0.93 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#120) | 0.467 (#230) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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