Betting Lines
| Spread | VMI -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | VMI -258 CIT +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIT +14 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | VMI -5.7 (-19.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VMI -6.1 (-20.1) | 141.0 (+9.0) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VMI -5.3 (-19.3) | 139.1 (+10.9) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VMI -5.3 (-19.3) | 139.9 (+10.1) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VMI -4.8 (-18.8) | 140.4 (+9.6) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | CIT 80 – 56 VMI |
| Mar 8, 2025 | VMI 73 – 62 CIT |
| Feb 8, 2025 | VMI 82 – 70 CIT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | VMI 75 – 70 CIT |
| Feb 17, 2024 | CIT 76 – 51 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 7-11 |
| Home | 5-9 | 7-8 |
| Away | 1-14 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L17 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.2 | 78.9 |
| Massey | -13.8 (#346) | -16.2 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.18 (#337) | -3.39 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.66 (#329) | -4.58 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#329) | 0.348 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.0% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 57.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 60.2% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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