Betting Lines
| Spread | CIT -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | CIT -900 VMI +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIT +25 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | CIT -14.8 (+10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIT -11.6 (+13.4) | 146.0 (-19.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIT -11.8 (+13.2) | 143.8 (-16.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIT -10.8 (+14.2) | 144.0 (-17.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIT -11.6 (+13.4) | 145.2 (-18.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | CIT 80 – 56 VMI |
| Jan 18, 2026 | CIT 82 – 68 VMI |
| Mar 8, 2025 | VMI 73 – 62 CIT |
| Feb 8, 2025 | VMI 82 – 70 CIT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | VMI 75 – 70 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 1-17 |
| Home | 7-7 | 4-10 |
| Away | 2-13 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 84.9 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#253) | -16.0 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#289) | -3.45 (#361) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.34 (#284) | -3.95 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#308) | 0.371 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.7% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.