Today Billie Joe McAllister jumped off the Tallahatchee Bridge "Ode to Billie Joe" - Bobbie Gentry
The Citadel Bulldogs
76 – 51
FINAL Conference
VMI Keydets
Southern Conference · McAlister Field House · February 17, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread CIT -12.5 Home covered
O/U 152.5 Under
Money CIT -900 / VMI +700
Model Predictions
Spread Total CIT win
Actual CIT +25 127 Won
Massey CIT -14.8 (+10.2) — —
Massey Totals — 146.3 (-19.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 95% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 96% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CIT -11.6 (+13.4) 145.2 (-18.2) 87% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CIT -11.6 (+13.4) 146.0 (-19.0) 88% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CIT -11.8 (+13.2) 143.8 (-16.8) 87% ✓
Baseline ML CIT -10.8 (+14.2) 144.0 (-17.0) 86% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 30, 2026 CIT 80 – 56 VMI
Jan 18, 2026 CIT 82 – 68 VMI
Mar 8, 2025 VMI 73 – 62 CIT
Feb 8, 2025 VMI 82 – 70 CIT
Jan 18, 2025 VMI 75 – 70 CIT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CIT VMI
Overall 11-21 4-28
Conference 3-15 1-17
Home 7-7 4-10
Away 2-13 0-15
Neutral 2-1 0-3
Last 5 0-5 0-5
Streak L3 L13
Avg Pts For 68.6 66.7
Avg Pts Against 72.2 84.9
Massey -4.6 (#253) -16.0 (#357)
Bradley-Terry -1.21 (#289) -3.45 (#361)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.34 (#284) -3.95 (#358)
RPI 0.428 (#308) 0.371 (#358)
Shooting & Four Factors CIT VMI
FG% 44.1% 41.8%
3PT% 32.6% 30.4%
REB / G 33.9 36.6
OREB / G 8.8 9.4
AST / TO 0.88 0.60
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.7% 46.8%
TOV% 18.0% 21.0%
ORB% 26.9% 24.9%
FT Rate 23.7% 19.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.9% 53.6%
Opp TOV% 15.1% 14.5%
DRB% 74.3% 69.5%
Opp FT Rate 14.7% 19.7%

Game Analysis

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