Betting Lines
| Spread | VMI -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | VMI -650 CIT +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VMI +12 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | VMI -11.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (+14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VMI -10.1 (+1.9) | 138.8 (+13.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VMI -8.4 (+3.6) | 142.4 (+9.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VMI -10.2 (+1.8) | 138.8 (+13.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VMI -10.0 (+2.0) | 140.2 (+11.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | CIT 80 – 56 VMI |
| Jan 18, 2026 | CIT 82 – 68 VMI |
| Mar 8, 2025 | VMI 73 – 62 CIT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | VMI 75 – 70 CIT |
| Feb 17, 2024 | CIT 76 – 51 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 0-18 |
| Home | 7-7 | 5-12 |
| Away | 5-10 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L24 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 63.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#286) | -16.2 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#284) | -3.99 (#361) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#266) | -4.33 (#360) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#273) | 0.352 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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