Betting Lines
| Spread | CIT -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | CIT -148 VMI +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIT +24 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | CIT -4.6 (+19.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIT -2.7 (+21.3) | 144.3 (-8.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIT -3.6 (+20.4) | 141.0 (-5.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIT -3.4 (+20.6) | 142.2 (-6.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIT -3.0 (+21.0) | 141.2 (-5.2) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | CIT 82 – 68 VMI |
| Mar 8, 2025 | VMI 73 – 62 CIT |
| Feb 8, 2025 | VMI 82 – 70 CIT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | VMI 75 – 70 CIT |
| Feb 17, 2024 | CIT 76 – 51 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 1-17 |
| Home | 7-8 | 5-9 |
| Away | 3-12 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L17 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 83.2 |
| Massey | -14.9 (#350) | -16.4 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.41 (#345) | -2.79 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.29 (#347) | -3.43 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.382 (#353) | 0.372 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.8% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 60.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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