Betting Lines
| Spread | VMI -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | CIT +100 VMI -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VMI +5 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | VMI -2.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (+10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VMI -2.3 (-2.7) | 133.0 (+12.0) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VMI -3.2 (-1.8) | 131.8 (+13.2) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VMI -2.7 (-2.3) | 132.7 (+12.3) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VMI -3.7 (-1.3) | 132.1 (+12.9) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | CIT 80 – 56 VMI |
| Jan 18, 2026 | CIT 82 – 68 VMI |
| Mar 8, 2025 | VMI 73 – 62 CIT |
| Feb 8, 2025 | VMI 82 – 70 CIT |
| Feb 17, 2024 | CIT 76 – 51 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 7-11 |
| Home | 5-12 | 7-7 |
| Away | 0-12 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L24 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -14.9 (#351) | -9.1 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.78 (#361) | -2.06 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.34 (#361) | -2.15 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.369 (#351) | 0.409 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 23.3% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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