Betting Lines
| Spread | VMI -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | VMI -260 CIT +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VMI +11 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | VMI -7.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (-2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VMI -7.8 (+3.2) | 138.2 (-3.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VMI -5.3 (+5.7) | 138.8 (-3.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VMI -7.1 (+3.9) | 138.8 (-3.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VMI -6.7 (+4.3) | 140.1 (-5.1) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | CIT 80 – 56 VMI |
| Jan 18, 2026 | CIT 82 – 68 VMI |
| Feb 8, 2025 | VMI 82 – 70 CIT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | VMI 75 – 70 CIT |
| Feb 17, 2024 | CIT 76 – 51 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 0-18 |
| Home | 7-7 | 5-12 |
| Away | 5-10 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L24 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 63.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#310) | -16.0 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#294) | -4.09 (#363) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#272) | -4.48 (#361) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#309) | 0.351 (#363) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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