Betting Lines
| Spread | VILL -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
| Money | VILL -440 HALL +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VILL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VILL +6 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | VILL -9.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VILL -9.1 (-3.1) | 138.0 (+2.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VILL -8.7 (-2.7) | 139.8 (+0.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VILL -8.7 (-2.7) | 138.8 (+1.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VILL -9.7 (-3.7) | 137.8 (+2.2) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | VILL 72 – 60 HALL |
| Dec 24, 2025 | VILL 64 – 56 HALL |
| Mar 13, 2025 | VILL 67 – 55 HALL |
| Feb 27, 2025 | VILL 59 – 54 HALL |
| Dec 18, 2024 | VILL 79 – 67 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VILL | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-8 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 11-8 |
| Home | 12-1 | 13-3 |
| Away | 8-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 10-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.7 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 18.2 (#9) | 11.9 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.03 (#12) | 2.35 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.74 (#13) | 2.84 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#9) | 0.590 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VILL | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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