Betting Lines
| Spread | VILL -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | VILL -750 HALL +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VILL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VILL +12 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | VILL -13.3 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.5 (-6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VILL -12.0 (+0.0) | 130.3 (-8.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VILL -10.7 (+1.3) | 129.1 (-7.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VILL -11.4 (+0.6) | 129.6 (-7.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VILL -11.7 (+0.3) | 130.2 (-8.2) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | VILL 72 – 60 HALL |
| Dec 24, 2025 | VILL 64 – 56 HALL |
| Feb 27, 2025 | VILL 59 – 54 HALL |
| Dec 18, 2024 | VILL 79 – 67 HALL |
| Mar 6, 2024 | HALL 66 – 56 VILL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VILL | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 2-18 |
| Home | 14-3 | 5-11 |
| Away | 3-8 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 61.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 11.3 (#54) | -2.0 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#78) | -0.91 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#68) | -1.03 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#137) | 0.430 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VILL | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.8% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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