Betting Lines
| Spread | VILL -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | HALL -111 VILL -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +10 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | VILL -1.0 (+11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (-11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -0.5 (+9.5) | 134.5 (-12.5) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -0.5 (+9.5) | 134.3 (-12.3) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -1.0 (+9.0) | 132.8 (-10.8) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -1.0 (+9.0) | 134.2 (-12.2) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | VILL 72 – 60 HALL |
| Dec 24, 2025 | VILL 64 – 56 HALL |
| Mar 13, 2025 | VILL 67 – 55 HALL |
| Feb 27, 2025 | VILL 59 – 54 HALL |
| Dec 18, 2024 | VILL 79 – 67 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 10-10 |
| Home | 17-4 | 10-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 65.6 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#65) | 13.1 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#57) | 1.53 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#56) | 2.12 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#87) | 0.564 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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