Betting Lines
| Spread | VILL -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | VILL -380 HALL +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VILL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VILL +12 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | VILL -14.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.4 (+17.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VILL -13.0 (-1.0) | 129.3 (+16.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VILL -12.3 (-0.3) | 128.7 (+17.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VILL -13.1 (-1.1) | 133.1 (+12.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VILL -11.9 (+0.1) | 132.7 (+13.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | VILL 72 – 60 HALL |
| Dec 24, 2025 | VILL 64 – 56 HALL |
| Mar 13, 2025 | VILL 67 – 55 HALL |
| Feb 27, 2025 | VILL 59 – 54 HALL |
| Mar 6, 2024 | HALL 66 – 56 VILL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VILL | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 2-18 |
| Home | 14-3 | 5-11 |
| Away | 3-8 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 61.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#64) | -1.6 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#136) | -0.42 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#132) | -0.62 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#143) | 0.473 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VILL | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 40.5% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.8% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 39.1% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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