Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | HALL -112 VILL -108 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VILL +8 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | HALL -3.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -1.2 (-9.2) | 132.9 (-12.9) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -3.8 (-11.8) | 132.2 (-12.2) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -3.4 (-11.4) | 132.1 (-12.1) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -1.9 (-9.9) | 132.4 (-12.4) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | VILL 72 – 60 HALL |
| Mar 13, 2025 | VILL 67 – 55 HALL |
| Feb 27, 2025 | VILL 59 – 54 HALL |
| Dec 18, 2024 | VILL 79 – 67 HALL |
| Mar 6, 2024 | HALL 66 – 56 VILL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 15-5 |
| Home | 12-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-6 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.3 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#43) | 12.8 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.24 (#17) | 2.43 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.55 (#17) | 3.67 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#22) | 0.624 (#26) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 38.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.8% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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