Betting Lines
| Spread | VILL -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | VILL -270 HALL +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VILL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VILL +12 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | VILL -6.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.9 (+2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VILL -8.6 (+3.4) | 135.1 (-3.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VILL -6.3 (+5.7) | 133.0 (-1.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VILL -6.1 (+5.9) | 132.8 (-0.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VILL -6.5 (+5.5) | 134.3 (-2.3) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 24, 2025 | VILL 64 – 56 HALL |
| Mar 13, 2025 | VILL 67 – 55 HALL |
| Feb 27, 2025 | VILL 59 – 54 HALL |
| Dec 18, 2024 | VILL 79 – 67 HALL |
| Mar 6, 2024 | HALL 66 – 56 VILL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VILL | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-5 |
| Away | 9-3 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 65.3 |
| Massey | 14.4 (#37) | 11.0 (#52) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.62 (#31) | 1.98 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.48 (#29) | 2.59 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.614 (#28) | 0.581 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VILL | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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