Betting Lines
| Spread | VILL -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | HALL +280 VILL -360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VILL +5 | 113 | Lost |
| Massey | VILL -10.3 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (-18.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VILL -8.7 (+3.7) | 132.8 (-19.8) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VILL -7.3 (+2.3) | 131.1 (-18.1) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VILL -9.6 (+4.6) | 131.5 (-18.5) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VILL -9.7 (+4.7) | 133.5 (-20.5) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | VILL 72 – 60 HALL |
| Dec 24, 2025 | VILL 64 – 56 HALL |
| Mar 13, 2025 | VILL 67 – 55 HALL |
| Dec 18, 2024 | VILL 79 – 67 HALL |
| Mar 6, 2024 | HALL 66 – 56 VILL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 11-9 |
| Home | 5-11 | 14-3 |
| Away | 0-11 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.6 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#197) | 11.5 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#244) | 1.14 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#244) | 1.73 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#296) | 0.515 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 40.3% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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