Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.0 Under |
| Money | RICE +190 UNT -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +23 | 111 | Lost |
| Massey | UNT -5.7 (-17.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.8 (-19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -5.4 (-17.6) | 131.3 (-20.3) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -4.4 (-18.6) | 134.6 (-23.6) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -3.8 (-19.2) | 134.5 (-23.5) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -4.4 (-18.6) | 132.9 (-21.9) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | UNT 62 – 58 RICE |
| Feb 5, 2026 | RICE 86 – 83 UNT |
| Feb 12, 2025 | UNT 67 – 61 RICE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | UNT 81 – 59 RICE |
| Mar 10, 2024 | UNT 71 – 55 RICE |
Game Analysis
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