Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | UNT -298 RICE +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +4 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -9.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (-16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -8.1 (-4.1) | 137.3 (-17.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -8.5 (-4.5) | 137.0 (-17.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -7.6 (-3.6) | 134.9 (-14.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -7.7 (-3.7) | 135.0 (-15.0) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | RICE 86 – 83 UNT |
| Feb 12, 2025 | UNT 67 – 61 RICE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | UNT 81 – 59 RICE |
| Mar 10, 2024 | UNT 71 – 55 RICE |
| Feb 5, 2023 | UNT 74 – 64 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNT | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-5 | 8-8 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#147) | -4.7 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#140) | -0.67 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#136) | -0.98 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#142) | 0.466 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNT | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.6% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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