Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | RICE +230 UNT -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +16 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | UNT -6.8 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -6.7 (-9.3) | 135.0 (-9.0) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -4.7 (-11.3) | 134.3 (-8.3) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -5.6 (-10.4) | 134.3 (-8.3) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -6.1 (-9.9) | 134.1 (-8.1) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | UNT 62 – 58 RICE |
| Feb 5, 2026 | RICE 86 – 83 UNT |
| Feb 12, 2025 | UNT 67 – 61 RICE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | UNT 81 – 59 RICE |
| Feb 5, 2023 | UNT 74 – 64 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-10 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 64.4 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#220) | 6.9 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#248) | 0.58 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#251) | 1.08 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#224) | 0.517 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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