Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 122.5 Over |
| Money | UNT -700 RICE +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +22 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -10.7 (+11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.6 (+18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -9.1 (+12.9) | 124.7 (+15.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -10.5 (+11.5) | 124.4 (+15.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -9.3 (+12.7) | 126.2 (+13.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -9.7 (+12.3) | 127.4 (+12.6) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | UNT 62 – 58 RICE |
| Feb 5, 2026 | RICE 86 – 83 UNT |
| Feb 12, 2025 | UNT 67 – 61 RICE |
| Mar 10, 2024 | UNT 71 – 55 RICE |
| Feb 5, 2023 | UNT 74 – 64 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNT | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 4-14 |
| Home | 17-1 | 7-8 |
| Away | 8-5 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#81) | -0.1 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#74) | 0.71 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#76) | 0.67 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#58) | 0.505 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNT | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 33.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 43.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.1% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.2% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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