Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | RICE -102 UNT -118 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +3 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -2.5 (+5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (+37.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -1.9 (+4.9) | 134.7 (+34.3) | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -2.3 (+5.3) | 134.3 (+34.7) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -1.9 (+4.9) | 133.1 (+35.9) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -2.2 (+5.2) | 133.3 (+35.7) | 35% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | UNT 62 – 58 RICE |
| Feb 12, 2025 | UNT 67 – 61 RICE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | UNT 81 – 59 RICE |
| Mar 10, 2024 | UNT 71 – 55 RICE |
| Feb 5, 2023 | UNT 74 – 64 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-8 | 12-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#254) | -0.0 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#250) | -0.08 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#261) | -0.10 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#282) | 0.480 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 34.3% |
Game Analysis
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