Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | RICE +195 UNT -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +6 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | UNT -5.8 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.7 (+4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -6.3 (+0.3) | 129.3 (-1.3) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -5.2 (-0.8) | 130.3 (-2.3) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -5.3 (-0.7) | 128.4 (-0.4) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -5.6 (-0.4) | 128.4 (-0.4) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | UNT 62 – 58 RICE |
| Feb 5, 2026 | RICE 86 – 83 UNT |
| Jan 9, 2025 | UNT 81 – 59 RICE |
| Mar 10, 2024 | UNT 71 – 55 RICE |
| Feb 5, 2023 | UNT 74 – 64 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 14-4 |
| Home | 7-8 | 17-1 |
| Away | 4-8 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 60.6 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#178) | 8.0 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#207) | 1.50 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#199) | 1.84 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#225) | 0.596 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 30.8% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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