Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
| Money | RICE +210 UNT -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +10 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | UNT -3.1 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.5 (+7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -3.1 (-6.9) | 131.2 (+6.8) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -4.2 (-5.8) | 131.8 (+6.2) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -2.4 (-7.6) | 133.7 (+4.3) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -2.5 (-7.5) | 132.2 (+5.8) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | UNT 62 – 58 RICE |
| Feb 5, 2026 | RICE 86 – 83 UNT |
| Feb 12, 2025 | UNT 67 – 61 RICE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | UNT 81 – 59 RICE |
| Mar 10, 2024 | UNT 71 – 55 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 31-7 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 16-4 |
| Home | 11-7 | 14-2 |
| Away | 6-7 | 10-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 56.3 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#162) | 6.9 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#118) | 1.94 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#134) | 2.13 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#139) | 0.596 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.7% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.