We're volunteers of America. "Volunteers" - Jefferson Airplane
Qubein Center · February 12, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread CAM -2.0 Away covered
O/U 130.0 Under
Money HPU +115 / CAM -135
Model Predictions
Spread Total HPU win
Actual CAM +18 102 Lost
Massey HPU -0.9 (-18.9) — —
Massey Totals — 131.4 (-29.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 51% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 65% ✗
Baseline Plus ML HPU -0.2 (-18.2) 132.4 (-30.4) 47% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CAM -0.1 (-17.9) 133.2 (-31.2) 43% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML HPU -1.5 (-19.5) 135.8 (-33.8) 55% ✗
Baseline ML HPU -0.6 (-18.6) 136.0 (-34.0) 54% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 9, 2023 CAM 82 – 66 HPU
Jan 26, 2023 CAM 72 – 64 HPU
Jan 29, 2022 CAM 77 – 72 HPU
Feb 24, 2021 CAM 68 – 48 HPU

Game Analysis

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