That's where you'll find me, along with the lovers muggers and thieves - but they're cool people. "Dirty Water" - The Standells
Big South Conference · John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center · February 24, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread CAM -3.5 Home covered
O/U 129.5 Under
Money CAM -138 / HPU +150
Model Predictions
Spread Total CAM win
Actual CAM +20 116 Won
Massey CAM -3.4 (+16.6) — —
Massey Totals — 136.7 (-20.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 77% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 75% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CAM -3.1 (+16.9) 135.5 (-19.5) 61% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CAM -2.5 (+17.5) 133.1 (-17.1) 58% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CAM -3.8 (+16.2) 136.0 (-20.0) 67% ✓
Baseline ML CAM -3.6 (+16.4) 137.4 (-21.4) 70% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 9, 2023 CAM 82 – 66 HPU
Jan 26, 2023 CAM 72 – 64 HPU
Feb 12, 2022 CAM 60 – 42 HPU
Jan 29, 2022 CAM 77 – 72 HPU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CAM HPU
Overall 17-10 9-15
Conference 11-6 6-11
Home 9-3 5-5
Away 6-7 4-10
Neutral 1-0 0-0
Last 5 5-0 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.4 66.7
Avg Pts Against 67.9 69.9
Massey -4.8 (#247) -5.8 (#262)
Bradley-Terry -1.01 (#255) -1.83 (#315)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.43 (#264) -2.04 (#299)
RPI 0.469 (#219) 0.434 (#281)
Shooting & Four Factors CAM HPU
FG% 48.7% 42.6%
3PT% 37.0% 30.5%
REB / G 27.2 35.2
OREB / G 5.4 11.3
AST / TO 1.11 0.99
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.6% 47.1%
TOV% 18.4% 18.6%
ORB% 18.3% 31.7%
FT Rate 23.7% 26.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.3% 52.2%
Opp TOV% 21.6% 20.2%
DRB% 68.9% 72.3%
Opp FT Rate 23.3% 23.2%

Game Analysis

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