Betting Lines
| Spread | CAM -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | CAM -250 HPU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAM +16 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | CAM -6.9 (+9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -5.1 (+10.9) | 146.0 (+2.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAM -4.4 (+11.6) | 144.6 (+3.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -4.5 (+11.5) | 146.3 (+1.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -4.5 (+11.5) | 147.3 (+0.7) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 26, 2023 | CAM 72 – 64 HPU |
| Feb 12, 2022 | CAM 60 – 42 HPU |
| Jan 29, 2022 | CAM 77 – 72 HPU |
| Feb 24, 2021 | CAM 68 – 48 HPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-10 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#256) | -8.4 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#272) | -1.07 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#270) | -1.58 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#274) | 0.441 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | HPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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