Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | HPU -110 CAM +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAM +8 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | HPU -1.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -0.3 (-7.7) | 142.3 (-6.3) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAM -0.6 (-7.4) | 141.9 (-5.9) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -0.2 (-8.2) | 144.8 (-8.8) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -0.0 (-8.0) | 144.7 (-8.7) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2023 | CAM 82 – 66 HPU |
| Feb 12, 2022 | CAM 60 – 42 HPU |
| Jan 29, 2022 | CAM 77 – 72 HPU |
| Feb 24, 2021 | CAM 68 – 48 HPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HPU | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 2-11 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#293) | -4.4 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#273) | -1.02 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#288) | -1.17 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#286) | 0.445 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HPU | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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