Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
| Money | DEL -105 HOF -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +14 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | DEL -0.8 (-14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -0.6 (-13.4) | 144.3 (+1.7) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -1.1 (-15.1) | 146.2 (-0.2) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -0.2 (-14.2) | 146.1 (-0.1) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -0.1 (-14.1) | 145.0 (+1.0) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | HOF 78 – 65 DEL |
| Jan 24, 2025 | HOF 93 – 68 DEL |
| Mar 11, 2024 | HOF 73 – 58 DEL |
| Jan 6, 2024 | HOF 76 – 71 DEL |
| Jan 14, 2023 | HOF 86 – 62 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-2 |
| Away | 8-5 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#142) | 3.4 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#114) | 1.06 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#119) | 1.18 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#88) | 0.582 (#51) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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